黄河源区冻土变化对流域地表径流和水源涵养量的影响

The impact of permafrost changes in the Yellow River source region on surface runoff and water conservation capacity

  • 摘要: 黄河源区是黄河流域的重要产水区和水源涵养区,近年来气候变暖导致黄河源区冻土退化加速、多年冻土活动层逐渐增厚。冻土的变化使黄河源区的水资源和涵养功能研究变得更复杂。研究明晰多年冻土变化状况、量化评估水源涵养量对多年冻土变化的响应,对黄河流域及青藏高原水资源科学管理具有重要意义。基于水文、气象及冻土等多源数据,对黄河源区多年冻土变化对流域地表径流和水源涵养量的影响进行了具体分析。结果表明,(1)1960—2020年间,黄河源区多年冻土呈退化趋势,活动层厚度增加10~25 cm,多年冻土集中分布区域逐渐缩小,到2020年部分区域多年冻土已退化消失。(2)黄河源区水源涵养量呈波动上升趋势,1979—2018年间有14年为负值,26年为正值,表明水资源总体上补给大于消耗。自1998年实施水量调度和退耕还林还草政策以来,水源涵养量逐步提升。(3)随着多年冻土退化(活动层厚度的增加),水源涵养量呈增加趋势。源头至黄河沿站和吉迈站至门堂站区域的水源涵养量变化,对多年冻土退化的响应最为显著。本研究有关结论可为黄河流域水资源管理和科学利用提供参考。

     

    Abstract: The Yellow River source region (YRSR) is a crucial water production and conservation region in the Yellow River Basin. Recent climate warming has led to accelerated permafrost degradation in the area, with the active layer of permafrost gradually thickening. These changes complicate the study of water resources and conservation functions in YRSR. It is of great significance to clarify the status of permafrost changes and to quantitatively assess the response of water conservation capacity to permafrost variations for the scientific management of water resources in the Yellow River Basin and the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. Based on multi-source data including hydrological, meteorological, and permafrost information, this study analyzes the effects of permafrost changes in YRSR on surface runoff and water conservation capacity. The results indicate that: (1) Between 1960 and 2020, permafrost in YRSR showed a degrading trend, with the active layer thickness increasing by 10-25 cm. The area of continuous permafrost gradually shrank, and by 2020, permafrost had completely disappeared in some regions. (2) Water conservation capacity in YRSR exhibited a fluctuating upward trend, with 14 years showing negative values and 26 years positive values between 1979 and 2018. This suggests that, overall, water resource recharge exceeded consumption. Since the implementation of water regulation and the Grain-for-Green policy in 1998, water conservation capacity has gradually improved. (3) As permafrost degrades (i.e., the active layer thickness increases), water conservation capacity has been increasing. The changes in water conservation capacity from the source to the Yellow River's Lian Station and from Jimai Station to Mentang Station showed the most significant responses to permafrost degradation. The findings of this study provide valuable references for the management and sustainable utilization of water resources in the Yellow River Basin.

     

/

返回文章
返回